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[환경] Emission Reduction Potential and Land-use Implications of Decarbonising the Power Sector in Sri Lanka

스리랑카 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - Research Gate 발간일 : 2024-04-25 등록일 : 2024-04-25 원문링크

Sri Lanka has ambitious plans to increase the share of renewable energy and introduce natural gas in the power sector to reduce GHG emissions as part of the Paris Agreement. Meanwhile, the agriculture sector and land-use sector come up with a different set of policies for example to increase domestic crop production and keep the forest cover in Sri Lanka to 30% of the land area. These policies may have constrained the availability of land for renewable energy development. As such, there are several inter-linkages of policies made independently for different sectors in Sri Lanka which are not clearly understood. The Climate, Land-use, Energy, and Water Systems (CLEWs) is a well-established framework that allows the analysis of interdependent sectors in a country or region for better-informed policymaking. This paper presents an initial attempt to develop a CLEWs model for Sri Lanka. The study focuses on the energy sector policies that are existing, an Existing Policy Scenario, and a Perceived Policy Scenario with ambitious plans for renewable energy development. These scenarios were compared to a least-cost business-as-usual (BAU) scenario. The preliminary results showed that ambitious renewable energy deployment requires 7.6% of the available grass and scrublands which may lead to potential conflicts for agriculture, forestry, and economic development activities.

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