중남미
연구정보
THE PERMANENT EFFECTS OF RECESSIONS ON CHILD HEALTH: EVIDENCE FROM PERU
페루 국외연구자료 기타 Jorge M. Agüero, Martín Valdivia Estudios Económicos 발간일 : 2010-03-12 등록일 : 2016-11-29 원문링크
We explore the permanent effects that recessions have on health-related outcomes of
mothers and children in Peru. To account for possible self-selection into giving birth during
harsh economic conditions, we compare the infant mortality rates of siblings born in
different phases of the economic cycle. Our results suggest that a 1 percent decline in GDP
per capita is associated with an increase in infant mortality rates between 0.30 and 0.39
percent. We find evidence that recessions also have a negative effect on long-term health
measures for surviving children. The additional negative effect found on prenatal care
suggests that the permanent effects start while children are in-utero. We discuss how our
estimates can be used to understand the effect of the current crisis and in the development of
policies to reduce the permanent effect of recessions.
mothers and children in Peru. To account for possible self-selection into giving birth during
harsh economic conditions, we compare the infant mortality rates of siblings born in
different phases of the economic cycle. Our results suggest that a 1 percent decline in GDP
per capita is associated with an increase in infant mortality rates between 0.30 and 0.39
percent. We find evidence that recessions also have a negative effect on long-term health
measures for surviving children. The additional negative effect found on prenatal care
suggests that the permanent effects start while children are in-utero. We discuss how our
estimates can be used to understand the effect of the current crisis and in the development of
policies to reduce the permanent effect of recessions.
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