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[경제] Afghanistan – Risk and Resilience Assessment

아프가니스탄 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - World Bank 발간일 : 2021-06-16 등록일 : 2021-07-24 원문링크

The Afghanistan Risk and Resilience Assessment (RRA) is intended to provide an analytical input to ongoing World Bank strategic planning processes. The RRA presents an analysis of: i) the causes of fragility, conflict, and violence (FCV), and sources of resilience; ii) likely future FCV dynamics; and iii) implications for the World Bank and Afghanistan Reconstruction Trust Fund (ARTF). The report is intended to provide practical and actionable recommendations to inform the future World Bank and ARTF portfolio and the operational and program management approaches to be taken by the World Bank in Afghanistan. The analysis follows the World Bank’s RRA methodology and is based on a combination of secondary sources and interviews. The analysis draws on the framework presented in the UN-WBG study ‘Pathways for Peace: Inclusive Approaches to Preventing Violent Conflict’ (World Bank, 2020). The analysis applies a political economy lens and is grounded in recent literature on political settlements. The work began with commissioning a series of background reviews from experts to summarize relevant literature and research. A series of discussions and workshops were held virtually and in Kabul to validate initial findings, and included various experts, policy makers, World Bank staff, and members of civil society. Findings were validated through another round of consultations with the World Bank Afghanistan Country Team, follow-up discussions with relevant experts, and an expert workshop, hosted by the Overseas Development Institute.

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