아프리카ㆍ중동
연구정보
[환경] The Role of Global Climate Change in Structural Transformation of Sub-Saharan Africa
아프리카ㆍ 중동 일반 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - centER 발간일 : 2021-06-14 등록일 : 2021-12-23 원문링크
With increasing evidence that rural households in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) opt for deagrarianization as an adaptation strategy to climate change, it is becoming important to understand the role of Global Climate Change (GCC) in ongoing structural transformation processes in these countries. We use Senegal as a case study country and analyze how various GCC scenarios affect the country's economic sectors, households' welfare, and structural transformation patterns. Our simulation results suggest that GCC can increase the country's deagrarianization pace, with industrial and service sectors in the capital Dakar being the most important destinations of the former agricultural labor force. Although unplanned urbanization smoothes the overall negative impact of GCC and decreases spatial income disparities, uncontrolled deagrarianization is also associated with negative externalities. Previous growth-focused studies suggest that services partaking in Senegal’s deagrarianization can hamper its long-term growth prospects, and our results suggest that productivity increase of services can redirect part of the former agricultural labor force towards industrial sectors.
본 페이지에 등재된 자료는 운영기관(KIEP) 및 EMERiCs의 공식적인 입장을 대변하고 있지 않습니다.
| 이전글 | [환경] Groundswell Africa : Internal Climate Migration in West African Countries | 2021-12-09 |
|---|---|---|
| 다음글 | [농업경제] Agri-hire in sub-Saharan Africa | 2022-01-13 |
