러시아ㆍ유라시아
연구정보
[경제] Armenia: Technical Assistance Report-Quantifying Fiscal Risks from Climate Change
아르메니아 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - IMF 발간일 : 2022-10-26 등록일 : 2022-10-30 원문링크
Armenia is facing considerable fiscal risks from climate change due to increasing and highly variable temperatures. This report provides guidance on how to quantify those risks over the long term, using an empirical approach to identify the potential impact of a range of temperature scenarios on GDP and the public finances. It finds that an extreme unmitigated temperature scenario that incorporates higher year to year variability could reduce GDP by 18 percent relative to baseline, and lead to unsustainable public debt trajectory by 2070. It also finds particular exposures to climate change on the state’s balance sheet through its SOE, PPP and on lending portfolio in the energy, water and transport sectors.
본 페이지에 등재된 자료는 운영기관(KIEP) 및 EMERiCs의 공식적인 입장을 대변하고 있지 않습니다.
| 이전글 | [무역] Raising Armenia’s Export Potential | 2022-10-30 |
|---|---|---|
| 다음글 | [경제] LNOB Country Brief: Armenia | 2022-11-13 |
