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[정책] Program Targeting with Machine Learning and Mobile Phone Data : Evidence from an Anti-Poverty Intervention in Afghanistan

아프가니스탄 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - World Bank 발간일 : 2022-12-06 등록일 : 2023-01-13 원문링크

Can mobile phone data improve program targeting? By combining rich survey data from the baseline of a “big push” anti-poverty program in Afghanistan implemented in 2016 with detailed mobile phone logs from program beneficiaries, this paper studies the extent to which machine learning methods can accurately differentiate ultra-poor households eligible for program benefits from ineligible households. The paper shows that machine learning methods leveraging mobile phone data can identify ultra-poor households nearly as accurately as survey-based measures of consumption and wealth; and that combining survey-based measures with mobile phone data produces classifications more accurate than those based on a single data source.

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