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연구정보

[경제] Philippines: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Philippines

필리핀 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - IMF 발간일 : 2023-12-15 등록일 : 2023-12-24 원문링크

After a strong recovery from the pandemic in 2022, growth moderated in the first half of 2023 due to external headwinds, fiscal underspending, and normalization of pent-up demand. Inflation decelerated from the peak in early 2023 supported by domestic policy tightening despite a recent uptick related to resurgent commodity prices. Growth is projected to rebound in the second half of 2023 and 2024 while inflation is expected to gradually approach the target. Risks to the growth outlook are tilted to the downside, mainly stemming from persistently high inflation, globally and locally, and a highly uncertain global economic and geopolitical environment. Upside risks to the inflation outlook include higher commodity prices and potential second-round effects.

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