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연구정보

[개발] Productive planning in an unstable country: The case of Argentina (2019–2023)

아르헨티나 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - FUNDAR 발간일 : 2024-04-01 등록일 : 2024-04-25 원문링크

During the period 2019-2023, Argentina was governed by a coalition of different factions of Peronism, a party that traditionally made state-led industrialization part of its narrative. In this context, there was a prioritization of the productive development and industrial policy agenda, which increased its resources compared to the previous government (2015-2019), whose orientation had been more economically liberal. The idea behind the push for productive policy was that changing the productive structure is one of the great engines of economic development, and that macroeconomic stability is a necessary but not sufficient condition to ensure high growth rates that reduce poverty and create prosperous and inclusive societies. Transforming the productive matrix, aiming for higher levels of complexity, productivity, innovation, and generation of foreign currency and employment, thus became a priority of public policy (Ministry of Productive Development 2020). During those years, I had the opportunity to be part of the technical teams of the Ministry of Productive Development, the agency responsible for executing the main axes of the productive policy. First, between 2020 and 2022, I served as director of the Center for Studies on Production XXI (CEP-XXI) and then as coordinator of the Argentina Productiva 2030 Plan (2022-2023). This initiative aimed to build a systematized and modern roadmap for Argentina’s productive development. The Plan (hereinafter, PAP2030) was published in March 2023 but was not fully implemented. The main reason was instability, both macroeconomic and political, something that has been a common denominator in Argentina’s long-term history. In this piece, I seek to analyze the main challenges and achievements derived from the design and the truncated implementation of the Plan. In this way, I aim to identify lessons that can improve the execution of productive policy in developing countries.

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