연구정보
[환경] Quantifying regional rainfall dynamics in southern India: Unravelling monsoon characteristics and intense precipitation using satellite and observed data records
인도 국외연구자료 연구보고서 Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 발간일 : 2024-07-01 등록일 : 2024-07-11 원문링크
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Rainfall patterns are unpredictable, which has implications for planning irrigation systems, constructing farm ponds and drainage systems, and conserving water and soil. The research findings have been compiled over 36 years, utilizing gridded daily precipitation data from the IMD and PWD (1984–2019). This study investigates the frequency of consecutive rainy days, the yearly rainfall pattern and the precipitation threshold value that triggers the flood. The Mann-Kendall approach is used to analyze trends in the statistical application XLSTAT. According to the trend analysis, rainfall and wet days during the Northeastern Monsoon (NEM) throughout the year show significant and nonsignificant increasing trends at most stations. Statistical or empirical approaches can be used to establish the threshold value of precipitation that causes a flood by examining historical flood episodes and the precipitation that occurred. The Gumbel extreme value distribution method was used to determine the recurrence intervals of days 1, 2, 3, and 4 that are consecutive and equal to or above 5 days. The study's findings will show that rainfall patterns can be used to forecast floods and estimate their return and recurrence intervals. As a result, implementing this research with these precipitation threshold values could help with flood warning systems and the infrastructure required for emergency responses to flooding disasters.
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