The economic outlook has weakened with risks to stability rising. Growth rebounded in 2017/18, led by exports and a recovery in agriculture, but is losing momentum. The impact from the Rakhine crisis is depressing foreign investor sentiment and donor financing. Macro-financial spillovers from banking sector restructuring may be severe if banks delay recapitalization. Global risks include trade tensions and global financial volatility, high crude oil prices and spillovers from a slowdown in China.