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연구정보

[경제] Projected 2020 Poverty Impacts of the COVID-19 Global Crisis in Latin America and the Caribbean

중남미 일반 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - World Bank 발간일 : 2021-12-07 등록일 : 2021-12-16 원문링크

Poverty projections for 2020 in the LAC region suggest the crisis will likely reverse in a short time frame many of the social gains of the last decade. However, emergency transfers, primarily from Brazil, lifted millions out of poverty, resulting in a marginal decline in the poverty rate and around 400 thousand less poor in 2020 relative to 2019. On the other hand, projections that exclude Brazil suggest an estimated net 13.7 million people fell into poverty in the rest of LAC. Even though most countries adopted emergency measures to counteract the negative impact of the COVID-19 crisis, such policies’ generosity were quite low across the region. LAC’s recently achieved majority-middle-class status is projected to be reversed, as the global crisis is expected to result in a loss of 4.7 million people from the Middle Class in 2020. Excluding Brazil, the negative impact is larger, with 12 million people falling out of the middle class.• Because lost labor income was supplemented by the emergency transfers, income inequality is projected to decline in the region in 2020, while it is projected to increase without Brazil.

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