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연구정보

[정책] Europe’s Wait for Turkmen Natural Gas Continues

중동부유럽 일반 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - FPRI 발간일 : 2022-09-13 등록일 : 2023-03-12 원문링크

In response to the Kremlin’s war on Ukraine, the European Union is moving to wean itself off Russian natural gas. While the move makes sound geopolitical sense, cutting off Russian gas supplies has already caused economic pain. Before the war, Russia supplied 40 percent of Europe’s gas. The European Union now aims to achieve energy independence from Russia by 2030. Moscow has retaliated by restricting gas flows to Europe and even shutting down the crucial Nord Stream 1 pipeline, sending energy prices soaring.

The European Union is now desperately searching for new sources of natural gas. Turkmenistan, with the world’s fourth largest gas reserves, would seem to be a possible supplier. The Central Asian country has been experiencing an economic crisis for some seven years and needs customers for its natural gas. But there is still no physical connection between Europe and Turkmenistan to ship the crucial commodity, and Turkmenistan’s repressive government has a poor human rights record. More importantly, Turkmenistan seems intent on privileging its ties with Russia and Iran over any potential market opportunities in Europe. As a result, there is no sign of urgency from Turkmenistan to export any of its gas to Europe anytime soon.

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