연구정보
[경제] Vietnam Macro Monitoring
베트남 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - World Bank 발간일 : 2023-04-01 등록일 : 2023-04-14 원문링크
This brief discusses the economic development of Vietnam for the month of April 2023. Vietnam’s economy slowed to 3.3 percent (y/y) in Q1-2023 compared to 5.9 percent (y/y) in Q4-2022, largely due to a contraction of industry, reflecting the sharp decline in exports. Services sector remained the main contributor to growth in Q1-2023 thanks to strong domestic demand and the return of international visitors. The slowing economic growth in Q1-2023 warrants close monitoring. If weaknesses in external and domestic demand persists, the government could consider supporting aggregate demand through an acceleration of public investment disbursement. Anticipated increases in electricity tariff and public sector salary in the coming months and easing of monetary policy by the SBV may lead to renewed upward pressure on inflation. Potential further financial tightening in the United States (US) to control inflation could create exchange rate pressures, especially as the SBV just reduced some policy interest rates to support the economy. Close supervision of the financial sector is critical given continued uncertainties in global financial markets and a slowing domestic economy, including a sluggish real estate sector that constitutes about 20 percent of financial sector borrowing.
본 페이지에 등재된 자료는 운영기관(KIEP) 및 EMERiCs의 공식적인 입장을 대변하고 있지 않습니다.
