아프리카ㆍ중동

Will Israel take military strike against Iran? The intent of this paper is to answer this question. More specifically, will the enduring conflict between Israel and Iran affect the Israeli decision‐making towards the Iranian nuclear program?The article begins with the theoretical consideration of the enduring conflict. This is followed by the intra‐Israel debates on the military strike against Iranian nuclear facilities. The author argues that the possibility of Israeli military strike against Iran is higher than we expect because of the structure of enduring conflict between the two states. In particular, Israeli negative perception of Iran,Israeli self‐image as a ‘victim’, and Israeli history of attacking enemies without allies’ support may push Israel to take a military strike against Iran.