러시아ㆍ유라시아
연구정보
[경제] The Economics of Winning Hearts and Minds : Programming Recovery in Eastern Ukraine
우크라이나 국외연구자료 연구보고서 World Bank 발간일 : 2021-06-25 등록일 : 2021-11-18 원문링크
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Since 2014, the armed conflict in Ukraine’s eastern provinces (oblasts) of Donetsk and Luhansk has dealt a heavy blow to people’s lives. The conflict has magnified the long-standing problems and created new ones. This study shows that scaling up efforts in the government-controlled areas (GCAs) of Donbas is desirable despite the subdued productivity in the region. This study recommends a decision tree approach to programming recovery in Donbas. Given the looming uncertainties and scenario-sensitivity of optimal policies, the recovery strategy should distinguish contingent policies from no-regret policies. Contingent policies change between the status quo and the reintegration scenarios, and they include interventions to mitigate conflict-related risks, risk-related transfers to address skill-shortages in GCAs, and investments for a contingent infrastructure strategy. By comparison, no-regret policies are desirable regardless of the conflict dynamics. They include the reforms to eliminate regulatory burdens and corruption; policies to open up the housing market; investments to modernize education for jobs and target low-hanging fruits in infrastructure; and efforts to produce better data to address knowledge gaps.
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| 이전글 | [정책] Fiscal Policy for Growth and Equity : Public Finance Review | 2021-11-18 |
|---|---|---|
| 다음글 | [경제] The Economics of Winning Hearts and Minds : Programming Recovery in Eastern... | 2021-12-16 |
